Portland Condo Sales Report

October 21, 2009

Portland City Center Condo Prices Down 10% So Far This Year

Median price points for condos sold in Portland’s city center continued to drop in the third quarter of this year. The 12-month rolling average for September came in just above the 300k mark, down from 316k three months earlier and 335k at the beginning of ‘09.  Median asking prices are starting to catch up with this trend, dropping below the 350k mark for the first time in more than 2 years.

Median Sale Price, Portland Condos

Accelerated marketing programs, such as the Atwater Autcion and prominent price cuts ( e.g. Block90) contributed towards the overall downward pricing trend. Similarly substantial list/closing spreads such as -189k (Westerly #309) or -92k (Meriwether # 1802) did not exactly help sellers overall. On a dollar per square foot basis the following picture emerged in the third quarter of this year (based on select projects with at least 3 comparable sales in the last quarter): John Ross – $308/SF, Edge Lofts – $300/SF, Westerly – $390/SF, Jefferson – $345/SF and 937 – $440/SF.  Note: Averaging technique provides only a ballpark number, since it does not provide any details on finishes/views etc.

Roughly a fifth of all transactions were north of the 500k mark with only a handful of condos closing  in the million dollar range such as Elizabeth Lofts #1502, a 3443 SF unit that finally sold for $1,97 million as well as the penthouse suite at the Casey (#1502) that went for $2.9 million. At the opposite end of the spectrum buyers in the sub 250k category had a choice of more than 50 units ranging from McCormick Pier at $142k (734 SF) to the Civic at $220 for a similarly sized unit.

Number Of Transactions Remains Flat

The third quarter typically marks the peak of the year as far as sales are concerned. However, in Q3/2009 the number of transactions remained essentially the same over the previous quarter, climbing by a mere 18 sales overall. Transactions also did not show much of a change over the same period last year with roughly 200 condos selling in the Pearl District, Downtown, South Waterfront and Northwest in Q3/2009. New construction sales accounted for about half of all transactions during this period, up markedly from previous quarters, an indication that developers are increasingly having to respond to the pressure in the capital markets and beyond. With 11 closings for the quarter, the top spot went to South Waterfront’s John Ross followed by 937 (8) and McCormick Pier (7) – both located in the Pearl.

Condo Sales, Portland Condos

Bank-owned condos in Portland’s city center constituted about 10% of all sales, roughly in line with previous quarters. The number of short sales declined to a mere dozen for the quarter.

Condo Inventory Stuck At 20 Months

Reflecting the busier period of the year, inventory (in months) has climbed steadily since January, settling in at about 20 months (12-month rolling average). By contrast, the Portland metro area as a whole is down to about 9 months. Vacancy rates are also higher than elsewhere in the city. Beyond the new construction units that sold in the last quarter an additional 25-30%  was vacant at the time of the sale.

Condo Inventory, Portland Condos, Q3/2009

Nonetheless quality developments  in good locations remain desirable and if priced appropriately don’t last much more than 30 days on the market, such as these:

  • Civic #617, 730 SF, sold at 214k
  • Park Place #304, 1255 SF, 2-bed, sold at 425k
  • Eliot #710, 916 SF, sold for 312k
  • Bridgeport #415, 840 SF, sold for 326k
  • Henry # 1115, the smallest unit (736 SF), sold for 359k

What’s in store for Q4? Inventory is likely to shrink as several sellers pull their listings off for the holiday season. A substantial number of buyers will likely disappear as well. More than any other time of the year, sellers will be delighted to see your offer.


John Ross Condos Responds To Atwater Auction

October 9, 2009

Sales Pick Up As John Ross Drops Prices Below $300/SF

As expected the John Ross has bowed to the pressure unleashed by the recent Atwater auction, which had forced price points below the $300/SF mark. With roughly 80 units left to sell, the inferior John Ross has been the obvious target for similar price reductions.

Last week the consortium responded and has slashed prices once again. Since then 9 homes have sold.

Prices Reduced By Roughly 10%

Price points had most recently been reduced towards the end of June, but had largely remained north of $300/SF. Now prices have been dropped by another 10%, bringing most of the inventory in line with the neighborhood trend. In fact, with several units trading in the mid $200/SF, the Ross once again offers the lowest price per SF in the area.

Here’s an overview of some of the new pricing:

Unit #      Type      Sq. Ft.     Price         $/Sq. Ft.

1616          B-SW       637           $189,000      $296

1304          C-NW       788           $229,000      $290

918            A-SW       1,205        $294,000      $244

203            B             1,874         $479,000      $255

1710          E-SE        1,826         $489,000      $268

3003         J-S            3,456         $1,149,000   $332

Click for here the updated price sheet and compare it with the old one here. Meanwhile, over in the Pearl District 937 is offering a $15,000 credit towards closing on all offers accepted before Nov 1.


Was Half A Million Dollars, now 300k

October 5, 2009


Record Number Of Drops Into The 300k Range

Among the almost 300 properties included in the Desperate Sellers Database, a record number have dropped within reach of the first-time home-buyer, rendering the 300k price range the largest single price category in the Database. With price reductions of 20% or more constituting the norm for Database-properties in places such as Happy Valley and select Pearl District and South Waterfront condos, a substantial number of properties in the 300k category had not long ago been priced in the high 400s, and several onwards of half a million dollars.

One of the many Database-homes now priced in the 300s

One of the many Database-homes now priced in the 300s

Banks Remain Driving Force Behind Price Reductions

Bank-owned properties now represent somewhere between 20% and 25% of all sales in the Portland-metro area, noticeably increasing the pressure for conventional sales and steadily driving price points down across the board. West Coast Bank, Citi Mortgage and U.S. Bank have been among the most active within the Database, granting significant reductions after repossession. In the wake of these developments, resistance appears to be breaking down among more and more “regular” sellers as well. Roughly 40 “regular” sellers (within the Database) have dropped their prices by more than 25% since listing them for sale.

Despair On The Rise Among South Waterfront Sellers

In the aftermath of Portland’s highest profile condo auction to date, despair seems to be rising among South Waterfront neighbors, notably the Meriwether. A 2-bedrm condo that was listed in the 800s at the beginning of the year is now available in the mid 400s, courtesy of the bank. Overall, Meriwether condos took three of the spots among the top ten price reductions for condos in this month’s update of the Database. Although resale and foreclosure activity at the neighboring John Ross has slowed down in recent weeks/months, time is clearly running out for the development consortium, creating interesting opportunities for the developer-owned (i.e. non-re-sale) segment.


Atwater Auction Aftermath Round I

September 28, 2009

Next Round Of Atwater Condos Released At 5% Above Auction Results

Within a week after the first round of Atwater condos were auctioned off, the consortium has released the new pricing for selected units. Here’s an excerpt of where we are at:

-Unit #417, floor-plan J2, N-facing, 1312 SF is now offered at 339k. The identical unit one floor down (#317) sold at the auction for 319k.

-Unit #1010, floor-plan M, SE-facing, 1953 SF has been bumped up by 10 grand from the winning auction bid (for #910) for an asking price of 615k.

-Unit # 1002, a 2-bed 2-bath unit on a Q floor-plan is seeking a buyer who will pay 495k or 10k more than the winning bid for #902 .

Several new floor-plans have also been released at revised price points. Contact me for more information.


What Happened At The Atwater Auction Doesn’t Need To Stay At The Auction

September 21, 2009

All But One Condo Sell At Auction

It was a jam packed event with the usual hype and energy that these kinds of events generate. Although many people were evidently just attending out of curiosity, the bidding turned out to be more serious and competitive than most had expected. If you had anticipated picking up one of these units at or near the minimum bid, you should have considered some of the previous comps, as well as the fact that out-of-state bidders are likely to drive prices up beyond the norm. In the end 40 out of 41 units sold, generating just under $20 million in sales.

Most Units Sell For 40% Or More Above Minimum Bid

With sales moving along quite nicely at the auction, securing a good deal became more of a challenge. On average, units sold for 41% above their respective minimum bid. Essentially all of the entry-level units sold at 50% above the minimum. Still, for some the gamble paid off. Notably the larger 2 and 3 bedroom units sold at mere 20% above the minimum and 40% below original price points. Here are some of the highlights:

-Unit# 441 sold for 254k at a 31% discount over the original and 50% above the minimum bid

-Unit # 333 (south facing) sold for 307k. That translates into a 30% discount and a 54% premium over the starting point

-Unit #339, the SW corner unit sold for 424k. That’s a 33% price drop, but still a whopping 57% above the minimum bid.

-The sale on unit # 904 represented a pretty decent deal for this “J” floorplan looking out on to the river. It sold at a 32% discount and a 32% premium over the minimum bid.

-The new owner of unit# 910 also has something to write home about. The unit (with premium finishes) sold for $310/SF, down from $439/SF.

Making The Most Of The Auction Results

Most likely this will not remain the only auction, although I don’t expect the team to put on another show before the end of the year. More interestingly the auction creates a unique dynamic for other developments (in the area) that are struggling to sell. After all, things aren’t that different at the neighboring John Ross, where roughly 45% off all units remain unsold and several more re-sales are waiting to change hands. Faced with the auction results at the Atwater, many other developers in town will be hard pressed not to match these prices as best as they can.

Interested in playing this game? Drop me a note.


Best Of Bank-Owned Luxury Homes

September 10, 2009

Foreclosures Increasingly A Problem For The Wealthy

Gone are the days when foreclosures where largely contained to subprime loans.  These days roughly one-third of the people who are falling behind on their mortgages are in traditional “prime” fixed-rate mortgages – according to an NPR report. The Wall Street Journal reports that “America’s most credit-worthy borrowers are defaulting on their loans faster than those with poor financial records”.

Dozens Of Bank-Owned Luxury Homes In Portland Available

As noted recently on this site, Portland already has a 55-month supply of million-dollar-homes, on par with sunbelt hot-spots such as Phoenix. In recent months, the share of bank-owned properties in this category has risen steadily. Deep pocketed shoppers can now choose from several dozen of Portland’s bank-owned luxury homes in the +750k category, such as this one:


This 5,000 SF Stafford home on a three and a half acre lot was originally listed for $2.5M.  Top of the line finishes, waterfalls and territorial views weren’t enough to entice buyers. The owners eventually defaulted and the bank repossessed this 4-bedroom luxury property, listing it at a 40% discount for $1.5M.

Prefer something more contemporary? How about this 4-bedroom new construction home in Hillsdale with expansive views of Southwest Portland, the river and beyond.

The developer put it on the market in fall of ‘08 for roughly $1.5M. Liberty Bank, the current owner, has marked it down by 50%.

Take a video tour of this home here.

Looking for the suburban superlative? Consider this 4,500 SF luxury home in Beaverton. It comes with an in ground hot tub, 5 water features, 4 separate patios and 4 1/2 baths.

lux3

The previous owner was asking for $1.25M as recent as last fall. At 727k, the current owner appears to be somewhat more in tune with market conditions. It’s on tour here.

Needless to say, the Lake Oswego area  is one of the main contributors to the luxury inventory (in distress). Here’s a 5-bedroom home in Lake Grove that started out at $1.5M. Would you buy it at half price? As of last month, that’s what the bank is now offering it at.

Increasingly banks are seeking out non-traditional channels to reduce high-end inventory. Much like its condo brethren at the Atwater Place, this six bedroom, five and a half thousand square foot home is headed to the auction block next week. What started out at $1.275M now has a starting bid of 219k.

Drop me a note, if this is what you are looking for. There’s more to be had.


Boutique Developers Eager To Sell

September 2, 2009

It’s Not Just The Big Boys That Are Struggling

Builder close-outs and mounting pressure among several of Portland’s large-scale developers have made headlines in recent months. Liquidation sales such as the joint-effort between Pacific Lifestyle Homes and Legend Homes have helped to substantially reduce inventory, a critical requirement as these developers seek to emerge from bankruptcy.

Home Liquidation, Portland, OR

Smaller developments, by contrast, tend to fly under the radar, holding out for the elusive buyer – one at a time.  However, developers of triplexes, boutique condo projects and groupings of custom homes are nonetheless immune to the workings of capital markets and the efforts of banks to clean up their balance sheets – especially when these places have been on the market for more than 2 years.

For Some, Time Is Running Out

Developers with a strong track record and evidence of a steady reduction of inventory are likely to weather the storm without too many bruises. Many over optimistic first-timers, however, are increasingly demonstrating their eagerness to sell.

Belmont East Condos

Sales started in early ‘08. So far only 11 out of 26 units have sold. The developer is offering a wide range of incentives including 6-months paid HOA fees, 100% financing at 4.875% with no mortgage insurance, a $5000 contribution to closing costs and a $5,000 Visa gift card.

SUM-Thing-New Condos

SUM Thin New Condos, Portland, ORSituated on SE 45 & Stark, this new development consists of three townhome-style condos, that were well received by notable design critics, but have nonetheless struggled to sell.

The two end units each provide three bedrooms and 2.5 baths, roof decks and private parking. Pricing started out in the low-to-mid 500s in early  ‘08. One unit sold not too long ago, the remaining two are now priced in the high 300s/low 400s.

Sacramento Lofts

Sacramento Lofts, Portland, ORUrban Sky Development has done a number of single-family home projects in Portland, but is a newcomer to the condo market – let alone the high end. Prices start at 500k, so far only one out of eight units has changed hands.

With not much of a track record in this segment, the lender is likely to be particularly involved as sales go forward.

Concordia Courtyard Condos

Irvington Park Townhomes, Portland, ORReminiscent of some of Frank Lloyd Wright’s work, this 4-unit project was developed by a NE Portland developer hoping to attract the eco-sensitive, artistic minded and well-heeled crowd.

Sales started earlier this year. No bites so far. Prices start in the mid 300s and are down as much as 80k from original price points.

Blueberry Lane Townhomes

Blueberry Lane Homes, Portland, ORJust a couple of blocks in from MLK, this 5-unit townhome style, green development is at a point – according to the listing agent- where it “must sell”. Homes start in the high 300s for a 4-bedrm, 4-level, 2000 SF carftsman.

One unit sold almost nine months ago. Prices are now down as much as 200k from the day they were listed.

Bridgewater Vista Condos

Another one-hit-wonder that has been on the market for a whopping 2-years. There are still half a dozen homes left at this St. Johns condo project.  Price points start at 169k. Some units are down as much as 50k. Still, there’s plenty of room for creative negotiations.

Overlook Condos

Overlook Condos, Portland, ORThis mid-century-inspired condo project in North Portland is the development team’s entry-level response to the greener than thou movement sweeping across town (and the nation for that matter).

Evidently the sub 250k market has been more concerned about their wallet than the environment. Since mid ‘07 roughly half the units have sold.  Prices are down as much as 100k on select units.

Ivy Creek Estates

Situated on 8,000 SF lots in Portland’s Bridlemile neighborhood these 4-bedrm luxury homes went on the market only a couple of months ago. Already prices have dropped as much as 150k. Buyers are now starting to respond and the first home went under contract last weekend.

Bridlemile Homes

There’s More Out There…

Needless to say, this list is not complete. There are about a dozen additional boutique developments stuck in similar situations in each of Portland’s close-in SE, NE, N and W neighborhoods. If you’d like to find out more, drop me a note.

***Related Posts***

Inside Scoop On The Atwater Auction

Boosting New Condo Sales – Whatever It Takes


Atwater Condos Go To Auction

August 20, 2009

Atwater Sign

***Update 09/20/09: Find out how the Auction went here.

Sales Grind To A Halt At SoWa’s Poshest Tower

It’s been a long time coming. Sales at Atwater Place, the highest end development at Portland’s South Waterfront never really got off the ground, with less than 30% of the building selling in more than two years. As the market continued to slide, the pool of willing buyers for asking prices in the $500/SF range virtually disappeared.

Auction Scheduled For Sept 20th

The lender, Westport Capital Partners has been stepping up the pressure in recent weeks, appointing Seattle-based Excell Group to take over the reigns from Realty Trust and exercising greater control over the developer’s decisions. Yesterday the firm announced that roughly 45 of the remaining 157 units will go to auction on September 20th (click here for a list of units scheduled for auction). The auction will be held by Accelerated Marketing Partners at 7 4 p.m. in the Marriott Portland Downtown Waterfront Hotel. Only registered bidders will be allowed to attend the auction!

Consortium Promises To Sell Units At 50% Discount

One-bedroom units previously priced as high as $379,000 will have minimum prices starting from $169,000, according to the consortium at the Atwater. Frequently, however, sellers impose substantially higher “reserve” prices which are not known to the public. If the reserve price is not met, the highest bidder may not end up with the property after all. Based on the auction documents and comments made by the auction firm in the Oregonian earlier this week, the consortium does indeed intend to sell at rock bottom prices.

See what Agent503 has to say about the Auction on KGW, Channel 8News:

Agent503 on KGW, Channel 8 News

Interested in putting together a bidding plan? Not sure which comps to use? Drop me a note. The auction firm encourages representation and there’s not fee to work with a buyer’s agent.


DealWatch: Edge Lofts Under Siege

August 20, 2009

Things Are Different At The Edge Of The Curve

Prices continue to tumble at the Edge Lofts, a Pearl District condo development completed in 2004 by John Carrol. A year ago 1,000 SF units with the building’s most desirable east-facing views were selling in the high 300s. Gradually distress crept in forcing prices down by 20% (year-over-year) for similar units.

Distress Spreads From South To East

Although year-over-year price declines in Portland’s Pearl District have edged into the teens, the pattern for the Edge Lofts has deviated substantially. Presumably the Edge would have fared much like rest of the Pearl District, had it not been for a downward spiral was initiated by forced sell-offs of several south-facing units over the last six months. Unit #929 introduced the foreclosure dilemma to the Edge, selling for 212k after being repossessed by the bank. Unit #626 followed suit shortly thereafter, finding a new buyer at 200k (or $222/SF).

Distress then worked its way up the food chain taking hold of the eastside of the building a couple of months ago when unit #521 went into foreclosure and sold for $260/SF. In the wake of these developments, regular listings too have been forced to adjust their pricing;  recently 1,000 SF units have been selling for 320k, down from almost 400k a year ago.

More Distress On The Horizon

Just as things have started to pick up in the condo market, the Edge faces another slammer. This week Chase (formerly WaMu) took back unit #825 at the Edge for $270, that’s 50k less than unit #625 which sold less than three months ago. Find out more in this week’s Foreclosure Files or drop me a note.


Boosting New Condo Sales: “Whatever It Takes”

August 15, 2009

Roughly a dozen new condo developments in Portland’s city center continue to struggle to break through the 50% occupancy barrier. Prices have been reduced at a number of developments, boosting sales at a handful of new condos such as The Cambridge and The Westerly. Others, notably The Encore are stuck in first gear, or have given up like The Waterfront Pearl.

Occupancy Levels Remain Challenging For Newer Developments

New Construction Occupancy Levels, Portland, OR

Developer Incentives and Deal Structuring Gets More Creative

Here’s the latest incentive package from the Encore, the Pearl condo development with the lowest occupancy level:

Homes valued at $500,000 and over Buyers who pay full price for a unit at or over $500,000 will receive $10,000 toward closing costs or upgrades, and a Nissan Cube.

Don’t have $500,000 to spend? No worries, you’ll still be rewarded for paying full price. This lovely Buddy Scooter and $5,000 toward closing costs, prepaids or upgrades are yours.

There are other ways to play this game…